The Intrinsic Value of Gold

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Gold as an investment is more prevalent as a currency than a commodity. The more gold that a country or an individual has, the more competent they are in terms of faring well with others. 

Though e-currency has become the popular choice, nothing beats the old-fashioned reliance on gold. Simply put, gold is valuable in itself, and though external factors may decrease its value, it still quite pricey. 

It is also a myth that if all the gold is mined it would lose its value. As explained by the Diamond-Water Paradox, gold will always remain valuable in spite of the clear value of other non-renewable resources. 

Then, the question is how are speculations accurate in determining the value imposed on gold? Is it purely based on a whim or on a serious deliberation from a consensus of countries? 

.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/7338216

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6 Factors That Affect The Global Price Of Gold

Gold Supply Versus Demand
Gold Mining Production 

Monetary Policies Of Central Banks 

Economic Volatility 

Value Of The US Currency 

QE3

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11 Reasons Why the Gold Price Will Rise Rapidly

1. Selling of Gold by the Gold Cartel 

2. Shortage of Supply 

3. Transfer of Gold Depositories

4. Increasing war and social unrest 

5. China is adding to its gold reserves

6. China is encouraging its citizens to buy gold 

7. India, which has been the largest buyer of gold 

8. GLD, the SPDR Gold Trust buys gold to back its shares. 

10. Paper currency devaluation 

11.QE3

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/3017103 -->

6 Reasons Gold Price Set To Double By Year's End

6 Major Reasons the Price of Gold Might Double

1. The Election campaigns between President Obama and Mitt Romney are running very close together according to several major media reports. 

2. The Mayan 2012 end of the world prophecy keeps further panic among prophecy believers alive until the 13th of December when either the world ceases to exist or the prophecy is deemed another hoax.

3. The value of the euro has declined with all the latest rounds of in decisions coming out of Europe trying to resolve their fiscal woes. 

4. The German government consistently does better than the rest of the EU community economically. Many of the EU nations view Germany who has the largest deposits of gold bullion in the EU nation as their caped crusader who could come out to save the rest of the struggling nations by helping to strengthen their personal fiscal problems.

5. The EU countries are increasingly becoming tapped both economically and financially. The more these countries beg for assistance the worse things become. As the level of this activity increases, gold again increases in value.

6. Perhaps the most significant reason is that the value of gold will increase during the year as it progresses along. It will be the media outlets that amplify its progress, along the way. There are going to be many cynical investors making major market moves out due to miserable financial performances within the markets.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/7230529  6 Reasons  Gold Price Set To Double By Year's End 

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Wall Street Wants Gold Prices to Rise Above $2,000 in 2012

The effect of higher gold prices on the jewelry industry has been disastrous. 

Jewelry made with gold and platinum have seen significant price increases over the past 3 - 5 years. These increases have been passed on to the consumer and in effect have made gold and platinum jewelry more expensive and harder to find. Many jewelers have substituted gold jewelry with silver and are offering pieces of a lesser quality.

 None of this effects Wall Street investors, unless they happen to own jewelry stocks that have never fully recovered from the market collapse in 2008. In fact, Wall Street has created a new bubble that will eventually burst, just like the housing market and dot com bubbles before this one. With world currencies like the Euro and Yen in flux, gold is the precious metal by which all currencies are valued. 

But to use this as a way to create investment instruments that have absolutely no real value is very suspect. These instruments only serve to artificially inflate the value of these precious metals and give Wall Street a new carrot to dangle in front of hungry investors looking to profit on the next big bubble.Should gold be worth $2,000 per ounce in 2012? Absolutely not. Are we using more gold in our everyday lives? Of course not. Jewelry stores have very little inventory of items made with gold when compared to 5 years ago.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6825797

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Gold prices rose reasons

Gold prices, gold prices rose reasons, gold
A loose monetary policy QE3
The United States and around the world central banks implement monetary stimulus, equivalent to printing money, bringing the prospects of inflation and currency devaluation
2 Inflation
3 increase in gold hedging demand
U.S. macroeconomic data weak
ICE dollar index of six major currencies trend today rose to 79.836 from 79.509 Yang. U.S. dollar price of gold and other dollar-denominated commodity prices reverse lower.

The Platinum Period January delivery price surge to $ 18.20, or 1.1 percent, to $ 1,669.30 an ounce.

December palladium rose $ 5.40, or 0.9 percent, to $ 640.80 an ounce.

December copper futures prices closed red cents, or 0.4%, to $ 3.76 per pound, quarter by 8% in January rose 9%.

December silver futures prices fell 9 cents, or 0.3 percent, to $ 34.58 an ounce, quarter jumped 25%, month by 10%

Gold prices, gold prices rose reasons, gold
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gold price rising

International gold  price is soaring broke through the $ 1,700 / oz resistance, since the international spot price of gold has accumulated or 9.44%, to reach the highest point in nearly six months.

2 U.S. easing to boost the price of gold

Shaking up the pattern of the international price of gold in the second half of the year will not change. "Judging from the current situation, the central banks easing is expected to already have realized a certain extent, this would undermine the upward price momentum, market outlook, the key is whether the economic situation will be improved, if the economy remains sluggish performance break through the 1800 mark, then gold, there is hope
Price of gold
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Gold price and inflation

Gold price inflation
Fed to keep interest rates at the lowest level in history, and the first two rounds of quantitative easing acquisition of $ 2.3 trillion in bonds fueled tired from December 2008 to June 2011, the price of gold rose 70%.

1 in the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to stimulate the economy and lead to the inflation fear accelerate doubts, the price of gold over the next six months may have rocketed to $ 2,000 an ounce historic astronomical.

2 the price of gold has been all along with higher inflation expectations. Following the Fed announced three measures to purchase debt, inflation is expected to climb to 16 months since the peak.

Three days of the gold price go Yang, the market believes that the new round of stimulus measures for the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) fear of stoking inflation, leading to a weaker dollar and boost demand for gold hedge.

The spot price of gold at $ 1,775.75 an ounce, rose 0.4% to an ounce $ 1,776.55 in intraday trading. Last week, gold tired up 2% on the 14th hit $ 1,778 an ounce, the highest since Feb. 29.
Gold price, inflation
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QE3 gold price

U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), the third wave of quantitative easing (QE3) decisions today determine the Taipei foreign exchange market yesterday presented a wait-and-see atmosphere, in the central bank in late approach resistance liter under NT $ appreciation from midday eighth eventually converted to devaluation the third of and Eve six hundred ninety-nine yuan closing, the end of the NT "with five liters Quotes.

Commodity in the market by the end of August to the price of gold on QE3 highest sensitivity reaction QE3 expected, the international price of gold has long been first rose more than five percent; this wave of the price of gold has the opportunity to challenge the one thousand eight hundred twenty dollars to one thousand eight hundred and fifty ten dollars this year's high point.QE3 baked hot money influx

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Fed QE3 gold price

U.S. Federal Reserve Board (Fed) 13 announced the launch of three open (open-ended) quantitative easing (QE3) per month to buy $ 40 billion of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), in order to boost the recovery faltering economy.

2 New York, gold futures rose to break the $ 1,750 per ounce.

3 With the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that three of quantitative easing (QE3), the New York price of gold since February for the first time to break through the 1.77 thousand U.S. dollars per ounce hurdle, the price of silver to follow up rose, copper prices side by side walking Yang

4 With the pressure the Fed will borrowing costs in an unprecedented low, and through two rounds of quantitative easing purchase of debt of 2.3 trillion dollars, the price of gold soaring from the end of December 2008 until June last year, 70%.

Linde fear the collapse of the concerns of the global economy this year, the price of gold may take advantage of the demand for hedge funds soared on record high. September 6 last year, the price of gold rush points $ 1,923.70, the highest-ever debt crisis is part of the reason behind.

New York, December silver rose 4.5% per ounce at $ 34.778, the biggest gain since June 29, after earlier hitting $ 34.87, and wrote a new high since March 5.Fed QE3 gold price
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Gold QE3

Gold

Gold,QE3

1 once held on 12 and 13 September, the U.S. Fed FOMC meeting, and then release the high side of the message

Season leverage effect of the gold stocks this year will make more in order to be optimistic.

2 strong dollar to become one of the key factors to suppress the gold price trend of the second quarter

3 CD since the second half of the third quarter, the dollar index impact by quantitative easing is expected to rise, the recent trend of strong to weak

The gold break incentives silence for some time pressure on the file, the current station line last year after the technical bulls station upper hand

4 major international brokerage firms have raised gold target price for the end of this year, including JP Morgan, and Goldman Sachs, respectively, in the last week

Raised to $ 1,800 and $ 1,840 an ounce, Barclays Bank also predict the price of gold to $ 1,800 per ounce.

5 gold futures net long positions for the third consecutive weekly increase, 110,004 one thousand from August 14 to September 4 increased significantly to 170,000,

No significant improvement in 6 U.S. economic data, in particular, continued weakness in the job market, high market expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to again resorted to a new round of easing


7 over the past two Fed during the implementation of the quantitative easing policy, the price of gold are showing gains of more than 2 percent,

Therefore, when the the market rekindled QE3 expectations, multi-party buying are starting to flood the gold market, and help start a new wave of gains.

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gold price will rush to1800 U.S. dollars if QE 3

Global concern, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to the third wave of quantitative easing monetary policy (QE3) is expected to be announced on Thursday,International investment in commodity prices is just around the corner. But domestic gold experts - Bank of Taiwan, precious metals, vice manager Yang Tianli estimated,Once QE3 is really scheduled launch, the international price of gold is expected to massive rush to a new high of $ 1,800 an ounce,But soon will appear bullish the best profit-taking selling pressure, the price of gold's bull run might be premature end.

Gold Price and QE3

1.U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) today convened the FOMC meeting, the best situation is FED strongly hinted again to push QE3, gold accumulates energy jumped a End of the price can be expected "

2.The global economy is still low temperature recovery, The Fed actively maintain a loose monetary policy "imperative" QE3 launched probability up to 90%, estimated size might 200000000000-300000000000 U.S. dollars.

3 If the United States announced the implementation of QE3 or other revitalization measures, the dollar index test a low 78-79 chance of a weaker U.S. dollar will push up the gold price, estimated the price of gold is expected to rebound to $ 1800 $ 1,732.8 from yesterday.

Gold Price,QE3

gold price upside

The European Central Bank (ECB), coupled with the Federal Reserve (Fed) may reposition itself in the 3rd round of quantitative easing (QE3) bailout to inflationary warming doubts climbed arrived in the peak of six months, the price of gold on the 7th. The analysts believe that the gold market outlook is still bullish, is expected to challenge the $ 2,000 per ounce. The ECB announced on Thursday the unlimited acquisition bond program, in order to depress the hardship and the country's borrowing costs. In addition, the United States in August nonfarm payrolls increased by only 9.6 million, better than the market forecast of 13 million people, and also increase the possibility of Fed resorted to QE3. Both measures are widely regarded as a danger of pushing up inflation, prompting the recent transfer of funds into hedge against inflation hedging."Citi Futures expert Smith said:" weak employment figures favorable gold price upside. Bernanke has repeatedly stressed that the job market is grim, the market is expected QE greatly increased the probability, but this may stimulate inflation. "Rose 2 percent on the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for December 6th, to close at $ 1,740.5 per ounce intraday rise up arrived 1,745.4 dollars per ounce, the highest since Feb. 29. The same day gold exchange-traded product (ETP) holders of gold also increased to 2,471.97 metric tons, a new high record. 

Gold price trends

Gold price trends

1Gold price trends often struggle as a result of a strengthening dollar. 

2 The dollar value notched higher almost immediately versus a basket of other global currencies, and this action can often diminish the number of investors positioning with gold and silver.

3 The debt resolution and financial restructuring plan that positioned Greece to secure billions in bailout funding is an example of action that helped to support the euro which positively affected precious metal gold and silver prices. 

4.The euro gained strength and more investors positioned with gold and silver on a global scale. Gold receives attention as a way to diversify an investment portfolio and there are numerous ways to initiate the diversification process.

5.There are many different ways one could choose to invest in gold. Investors can select gold futures and options, gold mining stocks, and even gold mutual funds Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6933316

Gold price trends

Gold Prices-Why Gold Prices Are So Stable

 Gold Prices,Gold Prices Stable

Why invest in gold

 You could purchase stocks of a gold company, but these are less stable because companies can be mismanaged. 

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1 However, gold has real value

2 Currency is very unstable

3 gold is a stable investment

4  there is a limited supply of gold in the world, so it is affected by supply and demand.

5 Why invest in gold--The main reason is security. Gold does not go up in value the way some stocks do

6 gold is very liquid.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6952388
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 Gold Prices,Gold Prices Stable

An increase of the gold price in the long term is expected

An increase of the gold price in the long term is expected to be the long-term outcome of recently released positive US economic data, after its momentary contribution to the volatility of the gold price.

Besides Fed policies, analysts also list the US presidential election process as a source for gold prices volatility for now. 

1.The released Fed employment stats seem to contradict the Goldman Sachs predictions.

2.After the $40/ oz. fall on March 14 (somewhat reminding of the $110/ oz. fall occurring abruptly in February in one day), gold price started recovering this week.

3. The global circumstances to which the Feds already answered with two rounds of quantitative easing are still in action in 2012. 

4. The need for "continued accommodative policies" mentioned in the speech was assumed in the markets as a sign for quantitative easing measures possibly coming up.

5.A new surge of liquidity in the market would probably trigger another increase of the gold price, as well as the fulfillment of Goldman Sachs analysts' predictions.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6969909

Weak Dollar Affects Gold Prices

The U.S. Dollar Is Backed by Gold, Right?

Gold Inspires Confidence

When the American dollar is weak, the price of gold goes up. It seems only natural that people turn to buying gold when they fear an economic collapse. Investors who have lost confidence in the U.S. dollar or the stock market invest in gold with more vigor because they believe that gold will always be valuable. 

Gold Prices Never Higher

Why is the dollar falling right now? As mentioned above, the U.S. dollar is backed up, not by gold, but by the "full faith and credit" of the United States. 

The dollar is down, gold goes up. 

The Bretton Woods Agreement

Following World War II, a system much like the Gold Standard was established under the Bretton Woods Agreement. 

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6928667

The factors of gold price analyzed as follows

The movement of gold price is mainly influenced by the supply and demand factors. The factors of gold price are analyzed as follows:

1. Supply

If the supply of gold increases, then the price of gold fell according to the law of supply and demand. Conversely, If the supply of gold decreases, then the gold prices rose according to the law of supply and demand. Therefore, any factors of gold supply will affect the gold price.

For example, the new applications of gold mining technology, the discovery of new gold deposits. In this case, the supply of gold increases, gold prices fell. When miner strike, gold prices rose.

2. Demand

If the demand of gold increases, then the price of gold rose according to the law of supply and demand. Conversely, If the demand of gold decreases, then the gold prices fell according to the law of supply and demand. Therefore, any factors of gold demand will affect the gold price.

For example, the Chinese New Year, gold investment boom. In this case, the demand of gold increases, gold prices increases. Conversely, if the demand for gold is weak, the price of gold fell.

gold price, price of gold fell, law of supply and demand, The factors of gold price, gold

the price of gold was steady

Spot gold early Monday (August 27) high order, the price of gold was steady at initial support 1660 QE3 is expected to support effects still exist, and again on news that the European Central Bank to consider setting the target range of the yield for the Treasury purchase program. EBRD, good news is blowing frequency, the gold market sentiment continued excitement

The spot price of gold Asia early finishing high challenge last week's high point. Preliminary support for the gold price has further shifted to the 1660 level, the support intact fear shock watch 1715 first-line.

AU9995 gold price opened at 341.40 yuan intraday highs and lows of 341.80 and 339.20 yuan, respectively; closing at 340.22 yuan, compared with the previous trading day down 2.05 yuan, down 0.60%. Trading volume of 2,574 kg.

AU9999 gold price opened at 342.33 yuan intraday highs and lows of 342.50 and 339.37 yuan, respectively; closing at 340.20 yuan, compared with the previous trading day down 2.13 yuan, down 0.62%. Volume of 2,827.60 kg. (J02)

The world's largest gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) - SPDR Gold Trust gold positions as of August 23, an increase of 4.52 tons to 1286.50 tons. The world's largest silver ETF-iShares Silver Trust silver positions as of August 23, an increase of 36.18 tons to 9820.81 tons.

The trading day will be announced to the German the August Ifo Business Climate, the current situation and the expectations index, the United States in August Dallas Fed manufacturing output index. UK Summer Bank Holiday market closed.

Movements in the gold price, "lukewarm"

Movements in the gold price, "lukewarm"

Far from the wishes of the international gold price trend of commercial banks, a similar product yield is not satisfactory in the overall yield of the bank financing products belong to the middle and lower level. And set different render the polarization trend yield. Part of the product yield of 4% to 5%; while the rest of the product yield 1%, investors stunned.

2012, seven months, the international price of gold out of a rare 10-year bear market, disappointed investors the Bull bank financial products, there is no opportunity to make the most money. The wealth of general interest, the latest statistics show that as of May a total of 36 gold-class financial products due this year, which failed to achieve a high expected return of 16 models, nearly half of.

, Bank of China, the two products linked to the price of gold only to achieve the minimum expected rate of return, which is a minimum yield of 0.5%, a difference of 5%, with the highest expected rate of return. China Everbright Bank, the issue of a structured product linked to oil futures and gold prices over the same period to achieve a yield of 5%, the highest expected rate of return of 12% in its expectations, a difference of 7%.

International gold prices increase cause

International gold prices increase 

1 U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes published for the market launch QE3 (third quantitative easing) is expected to go up again

2 the central bank is still frequently buy gold

3 in the third quarter into the traditional peak season for gold demand, gold peak season phenomenon mainly from India's civil demand

International gold prices cause

price of gold rose to high

price of gold rose to high since mid-April, the experts said that the price of gold because it has "broken bits" (rise above its 200-day moving average and rising triangle at the top), the expected short-term 1720-1770 U.S. dollars per ounce on the red, but notexclude medium-term shocks, or will try to 1500-1600 U.S. dollars back. However, due to gold as an alternative "reserve" assets, to collect, to long-term gold bull market is still pending callback to this interval.

Haywood, CGSES chairman, said that the price of gold may be short-term on the look $ 1720, but is not expected to suddenly skyrocketed, material or dropped to 1600 dollars, the steady challenge to the fourth quarter of more than $ 2,000, and refers to 2014 ultra-low interest rate environment, our asset markets will still be the case of the floor, Golden Years ".

spot price of gold in the range shock

The gold field this week, trading was light, the spot price of gold in the range shock. Spot gold opened at $ 1,621.5, the highest on the test $ 1,625.5 $ 1,590.2, the lowest dropping gold price shocks in the vicinity of $ 1,615 as of Friday evening, dynamic Zhou K line presents a range-bound small Yinxian.

This week the price of gold did not break the interval fluctuation tendency overall in the $ 1,595 quarterly line support between $ 1 620 half-line anti-pressure fluctuation. The medium to long term, the continuation of the trend of global liquidity release will continue to constitute the gold market strong support. Look at the short-term market, the gold market remains sensitive to the dollar, the dollar tend to continue to adjust and perhaps even greater, which will benefit short-term strength of the gold price.

The good performance of the country's economic data, the market anticipated forthcoming release of loose monetary policy message of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting. $ 1630 gold rail from shock interval of four weeks a pullback to the lower rail above $ 1.61 thousand.

The U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) began a two-day monetary policy meeting on July 31, the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on interest rates will be held on August 2. About to take measures to boost investor confidence in the market of these two central high expectations.

Gold to restore the gains in three of conditions

The first is the debt crisis in Europe is heating up again, to promote the inflow of funds into gold as a hedge. Second is the world's major central banks, especially the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), launched a new one of quantitative easing (QE), which led to the devaluation of paper money. 3:00 is the most important, namely India and China must increase the demand for physical gold.China, India is a global gold before the big buyer, the previous quarter, demand both fell. The second quarter of India's gold demand to 181.3 tonnes, dropped by 38 percent over the same period last year, shrinking by 13% than the first quarter of reasons levied on gold import duty, the rupee and slowdown in economic growth. Even if the second half of the demand and flat in the first half of the total gold demand this year is only about 778 tonnes, about 184 tons less than last year.The second quarter gold demand in China dropped by 43 percent over the previous quarter to 144.9 tonnes, the second half of the demand and the first half of equivalent total demand will be approximately 800 tonnes, only 29 tonnes more than last year. With the inflation annual rate of 1.8% and the slowdown in the economy, the second half of the demand it is difficult to rebound sharply.View last year's support price of gold climbed arrived in a new high of three factors: The euro zone disintegration accompanied by quantitative easing worries that the central bank to buy a large scale, in India the strong economic expansion driven by demand and inflation concerns. Today, Indian inflation concerns cool, but it faces a slowing; the possibility of the disintegration of the euro area has lower than the end of last year and the first half of this year; the Fed and other major Western central banks may still be dishing out the QE, but the possibility of reduced. 

New York gold prices

New York gold prices, the United States released the consumer price index (CPI) combustion of the Federal Reserve (Fed) bailout expected, gold as a magic weapon against inflation, increase demand Dayton. New York copper is four days to three days down, the main reason investors worried about China's economy cooling.

U.S. Labor Department reported the July CPI was unchanged, the annual growth rate of only 1.4%, the lowest since record 2 010 11. Bloomberg News survey of 85 economist estimates a median increase of 0.2%.

Fed delay bailout, gold tired, down 6.1 percent so far since the end of February.

Although the price of gold hit in 2008, the largest decline in quarter line, worth hundreds of millions of large investor George Soros (George Soros), with Paulson (JohnPaulson,) is still bullish on gold price outlook, and both rush to buy gold.

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) data show that George Soros of Soros Fund Management Company (Soros Fund Management) as of June 30 for the second quarter holdings of SPDR Gold Trust (SPDR Gold Trust) investment from the previous quarter improve more than doubled, up to 884,400 shares.

Under the name of the hedge fund Paulson (Paulson & Co.) also increased the SPDR Gold Trust fund to invest 26% to 218 million shares.

New York, December gold closed up 0.3 percent at $ 1,606.60 per ounce, the gold price this year, up 2.5%.

New York, December copper tumbled 0.3 percent, at $ 3.361 per pound this season to count fell 3.9 percent.

Gold Investments and Ways to Invest in Gold

The factors investors are considering gold is that the old reasoning was that if ever the share market was low the gold market was normally up. This thinking has turn out to become a chance, but not an axiom of present marketplace. The fall down of the dollar value normally results increase for the price of gold. 

There are particular international gold stocks which can be significant. A Canadian based global participant in gold market is Agnico-Eagle Mines. This firm trades in the New York Stock Exchange and also Toronto Stock Exchange making use of the symbol AEM. The stock is as well offered at the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. 

Other important gold stocks comprises; Barrick Gold Corp, Goldcorp Inc., Kinross Gold Corp., plus Newmont Mining. Each and every one of these gold stocks are at present trading in the upside, on the other hand it's highly recommended to all investors to verify these stocks go with your investment risk factor.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/4680055

Why Gold Chains Have High Value Even If They Are Secondhand

. Some of the recent surveys show that the Gold production is very low when compared to the global demand of the product. India, being the largest consumer of gold has an annual demand of 800 tons. Imagine what would be the total demand across the world! In the total gold recourses available scrap gold or old gold contributes 30%.

The second reason will be the customer behavior. It's strange to see an increase in the consumer is directly proportional to the increase in the price of the gold. These contradictions created confusion in gold buyers and is reflecting on the price of both fresh and scrap gold.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/5402219

The supply of gold and silver comes from recycled scrap metal and mining activity. Mining for metals is not an easy process and is very expensive.

The demand for precious metals is based on the demand for jewelry, investment demand, and the industrial demand. Gold has been treasured for thousands of years. Some people look at purchasing jewelry as an investment that they can wear. Individual and institutional investors are purchasing small bullion coins or bars. Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6951880

gold price decrease

From fundamental factors, not only the international price of gold in international oil prices also fell, New York crude oil prices fell to around $ 97 a barrel,

This shows clear signs of global economic recession.

Two factors from the policy side, the global monetary easing is no longer a global inflation base has ceased to exist. No new monetary policy to stimulate the rising price of gold is very difficult.

From the relationship between supply and demand factors, the demand for physical gold has now entered the off-season, and regardless of the demand for gold jewelry, investment demand, or the central bank to buy, are worse than last year's levels, some speculative funds have been out early. "Although the next few weeks from enhanced physical gold demand in China and India, but what can help gold recovered much lost ground is still an open question.

gold Price fell reasons

1.Investors disappointed with the European Central Bank president Mario Draghi (Mario Draghi) for efforts to combat the European debt crisis talk.
2.Fed will the cost of borrowing is maintained at an unprecedented low of
3. investment of the EBRD disappointed. Not to take action means that growth in the next few months will continue to slow down
4. by the European debt events, the EPS of the world's leading companies are followed by decline, analyst of energy, raw material stocks, earnings estimates for repair
5. of economic uncertainty
3. geo-political tensions
7. 11mon  U.S. presidential election variables

K-line, four hours of the gold market analysis

The market analysts said, leading to the day of the gold market trading was light as investors maintain a cautious optimism the central bank meeting to be held this week, the price of gold within a narrow range.

The Fed and the ECB are scheduled to convene a meeting this week, investors of these two central banks is expected to increasingly warming to take action. Analysts believe that, not satisfied with the U.S. economic outlook, may announce new initiatives, while the ECB is likely to launch a series of programs aimed at addressing the euro area sovereign debt crisis continued.

The day
Spot gold chart
Technical point of view, the price of gold was steady in 1607 above the 5-day moving average 1620 and 100-day moving average, the daily overbought. The current line of 4 hours MACD below the 0 axis side run, the short-term moving average group and the group of long-term average upward divergence. RSI indicator 63, a random index in the 76, gold in Bryn rail rail near the operation. During the day in 1620, the long and short watershed, above the resistance at 1624,1626 and 1630, below the support in 1616,1613 and 1609. Analysts believe that the price of gold was steady at the current success of 1600 the top of the integer points and has been tested around 38.2% bounce-bit 1627 of the 1790-1527 decline, do not rule continue to test before 6 June 1641 near. Below the support area in the 1579-1598 interval, the short term, gold will range bound according to the news of factors, investors should note that the United States refers to the trend and keep the wet storage operation. Analyst proposal could be considered short in 1625 near the wet storage, the target in 1615 near further to be seen near to 1613, or to find a range of operating opportunities between 1630-1610, the short-term long and short can be a volatile trading, stop loss of 5 to $ 10

the gold the breakthrough triangle resistance

After the gold the breakthrough triangle resistance, the technical trend to gradually improve short-term moving average line has to rise above the center line moving average midline moving average rebounded, and is currently a high consolidation, short-term support and resistance were 100 Antenna $ 1614and mid-June, the high resistance of $ 1,633. To follow recommendations to invest in the gold price up to wear $ 1,615 to establish long positions in London gold investors, we can maintain the target price at $ 1 630, the stop price is $ 1,605.

Federal Reserve Board on Thursday (2) the early morning announcement on interest rates, the results of the meeting, the ECB will publish the results the same evening, the two meeting on interest rates of no measures or implied introduced stimulus measures, is expected to fall may will lead to gold slowed down.

Other precious metals generally rose yesterday, September silver futures closed up $ 0.53, or 1.95 percent, to close at $ 28.03; October platinum futures rose $ 3.6, or 0.26 percent, to close at $ 1,411.8; 9 month palladium futures rose $ 16.5, or 2.89 percent, to close at $ 588.35.

Gold as a traditional inflation hedge tool

The data show that U.S. initial jobless claims last week, a significant increase in the U.S. mid-Atlantic manufacturing activity weakened, so the Fed to introduce more economic stimulus measures to help boost investment in gold charm.
Gold as a traditional inflation hedge tool has been dropped from earlier this year level, the Fed did not introduce a more proactive approach to stimulate the economy; Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's speech last week, again, no hint of the upcoming new round of asset purchase program.
The analyst said: "If we expect the U.S. will have more liberal policies, I expect gold buying promote, quickly soared to $ 1,800 this year highs."
Kiro, vice president of RBC Wealth Management, said that gold still have received more than $ 1 600 per ounce, which is more to improve the technical scenarios.
The analysts said that corn futures prices to a record high also helped push up gold, because corn prices are regarded as inflation.
Last Friday, the New York gold futures to get rid of morning weakness modestly higher New York gold futures for August delivery rose $ 2.40, or 0.2 percent, to close at $ 1,582.80 oz.
But on Thursday, Friday of gold modestly high, but not enough to erase the whole week decline, gold fell 0.6 percent the week.

$ Index is the second consecutive day to rise, analysts said David Lennox, the dollar index continued Young to become the main cause of the price of gold under pressure, the investor was not seeking a safe haven like gold, but to determine the value of the assets bought by the solid support, will not easily fall.

This week, Greece has once again become the focus of the debt crisis in Europe, because creditors will evaluate Greece deviate from the relief how far the target, increased the doubts of Greece out of the euro.

German Vice Chancellor Philipp Roesier said that Greece can not meet the relevant conditions, will not get more money. Roesler said, doubt very much they can save Greece, Greece out of the euro are no longer people feel afraid.

Song Guoqing, member of China's monetary policy committee forecast that China's third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) annual growth rate may slow to 7.4 percent, echoed Premier Wen Jiabao said earlier that the economic difficulties may persist for some time warning.

gold price volatility

The fourth largest Spanish autonomous region Valencia, financial difficulties, need help to the Spanish Government; In addition, the market is more outgoing Greece will emerge the euro area news, market concerns about the debt crisis in Europe is heating up again, Europe and the United States stock market and the risk of currency that day generally fell, dragging down the price of gold also see down in Europe, the middle, but Russia last month to increase gold reserves of the message constitutes support for the gold, the gold period in the United States since the lows by the down turn to New York, August gold closed up 2. $ 4, or 0.15 percent, to close at $ 1,582.8;, London gold rose $ 3.4, or 0.21 percent, to close at $ 1,584.7 an ounce.

Technically, the narrowing of the gold price volatility, continued around $ 1 580 on and off for the interval in the triangle is brewing breakthrough in the current triangle top and the bottom has been narrowed to $ 1609 and $ 1.56 thousand. Continue to advise investors to buy low and sell high strategy, $ 1,573 to establish long positions, the target price of $ 1,590, stop-loss price of $ 1,566.

European debt crisis worries heating up again, the euro against the dollar to maintain the downward trend, the funds continue to flow into the U.S. dollar hedge, due to the uncertainty of the debt crisis in Europe has not diminished, it is expected that the U.S. dollar short-term will still remain strong, the price of gold is a bearish factor, the price of gold Once a breakthrough down opportunity is likely to be larger. Therefore, once the price of gold fell below $ 1,566, the investor can establish a short position, the target price of 1530 U.S. dollars, stop-loss price of $ 1,575.

Reuters poll forecast of 10 importers in India, gold dealers and brokers for the third quarter of 2012 India's gold imports, the median estimate of 135 tonnes, compared to 205 tonnes a year earlier (2011) have fallen sharply to 34 %, mainly due to Indian rupee depreciation to the high local price of gold, decorated with gold and investment demand remains in the doldrums. (Source: Reuters, 2012 July 18)

Last Monday the German Constitutional Court said that "will be announced on September 12 ruling on the EU financial agreements and the European stability mechanism (ESM), to enhance market concerns about the debt crisis in Europe, the price of gold fell to 1,578 dollars, but the United States released 6 Retail sales fell 0.5% (lower than the predicted value growth of 0.2%), showing the strength of the U.S. economic recovery slow to attract the buying approach of the gold market, pushing up the price of gold rose to U.S. $ 1,594. Tuesday, Spain successfully auction € 3.56 billion bond, driving the highest price of gold rose to U.S. $ 1,599, but Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke in Senate testimony only reiterated that it will take further action to promote economic recovery, the labor market does not improve, but no mention of a new round of quantitative easing measures, the emergence of the gold market disappointment selling gold quickly dropped to 1,571 dollars. Wednesday German auction of 4.17 billion euros of 2-year bonds, the first negative yield, that the market continued to worry about the debt crisis in Europe, together with the United States announced the increase in June housing starts to an annual rate of 760,000 (higher than the estimated value of 74.5 million, and since October 2008, a new high), the price of gold continued to fell to 1,567.34 dollars, nearly one week lows. Thursday the United States released the week before the first application for unemployment benefits substantially increased 3.4 million to 38.6 million existing home sales unexpectedly fell in June to 4.37 million in June leading indicators fell 0.3 percent, and weak economic data, renewed market more to stimulate the FED launched the expectations of economic policy, pushing up the price of gold rose to U.S. $ 1,591 Friday by Spain of the autonomous region of Valencia, will the Government of Spain financial aid requirements, the Spanish 10-year bond yields surged to 7.284 percent, the euro the dollar fell to 2-year low, the price of gold fell to 1,573 dollars, but the Russian central bank announced gold reserves increased by 6.2 metric tons in June, pushing up the price of gold back above $ 1,580, the final offer of U.S. $ 1,582.73, compared to the previous Friday (July 2012 13) was last quoted at 1,588.44 U.S. dollars, down $ 5.71.

invest in Gold

Like anything, gold prices are not stagnant and have changed throughout history, from a value of $260 US dollars in 1960 for 1 troy ounce of gold to a huge peak of $2359 US dollars in 1980. Gold is not a fully secure option as its value can often go through highs and lows.

Gold has been a sought after item since the beginning of recorded history and has been used as a currency for exchange and investment for hundreds of years. In times gone by, gold was often traded along with silk, amber, rice and sugar along the ancient international trade routes that exist across China, India, Europe, and Asia.

Many people have historically and still do today invest in Gold. It is often considered as a somewhat secure investment as it usually provides a defence against external factors such as social reform, political issues and economic crises. Somewhat protecting your investment from these factors in a way that it would not have been protected if it had been invested your money into a bank account or property for example. This is not to say that gold is impenetrable, although some consider it to be a more secure investment then other options it is still affected by external factors which could increase or decrease the value of your investment, and this is clearly illustrated below.

Currently the price and worth of gold is on a steady incline and is at the highest value for twenty eight years, meaning that this could be the perfect time to cash in your investment or get some cash for gold you may have lying around your house, maybe an unworn ring or bracelet or even an old gold tooth.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/5317581gold prices 

Gold Coin

Gold Coin

.Other examples may be The Canadian Maple Leaf Gold Coin, or the South Africa Krugerrands. Well known brands usually lead to an increase in demand. And with demand, coins boost their value. If for gold bullion the value is set by the material used for fabrication, by the trust the brand builds into people, another important factor that determines the numismatic value of a coin is rarity. A collector will always want to have in his collection a rare and old currency, or even unique. Uniqueness might come from a mint error for example.

They are worth at least as much as a piece of the same metal with the same weight. And in these times of crises, deciding to buy gold bullion is the best thing one can do. This is one factor that you don't have to worry about, because it will always be extremely well rated on the market.

Another important factor that determines the value of a coin is the numismatic factor. Whenever you decide to invest you can use bullion coins. 

Their value are mainly the value of the same quantity of gold, while numismatic currency bring people another profit-personal satisfaction. If you are a coins collector, then your best choice would be precious metal ones.

The degree of notoriety of the currency is another factor that might set the value for gold coins. There are some of them very famous, among which the best known is the American Eagles Coin.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/4701315

Gold Coin

Gold Is Inching Toward a $400 Breakout Probability

It's too soon to tell if the gold price breakout will be to the upside or the downside.

In fact, the likelihood of a $400 breakout is itself, merely a probability!

It is the charted price pattern over the past year that leads me to consider the possibility that we are approaching a gold price breakout.

Furthermore, charted price patterns are only one of the "technical" factors, and technical factors are only one of three general factors that influence price movements. The other two are the "fundamentals" factor and the factor known as "market trader sentiment."

Obviously, the influence of three different general factors (each with numerous indicators) provides a complex collection of information that can only suggest probable outcomes.

Instead of becoming another predictor of gold's price, I'll stick with simply pointing out the probabilities. After all, no one really knows what the market is going to do.

Any time that you hear or read of people claiming to "know" what the markets are going to do, you are listening to (or reading) mere speculation. They might very well to turn out to be correct in their speculation, but it is wrong and naive to claim that one "knows" what the market will do.

Too often, many new traders jump to the invalid conclusion that a particular "stock market guru" has the ability to know where prices are going, simply because their "predictions" are often correct. The truth is that they are merely studying the probabilities and drawing conclusions about what the market probably will do. That's an important distinction to remember.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/7145017gold price breakout

Why Do Gold Prices Rise?

Obvious factors that can cause a sudden change in the price of gold are natural or historical disasters: world wars, global-scale economical crises, fall of the real estate market, bank failures, famine, pandemics or other worst-case scenarios alike..

Ever since 1919, the price of gold has been set by the London Gold Fixing, a procedure through which representatives from five bullion-trading firms of the London bullion market conduct a teleconference twice a day, at 10:30 a.m. and again at 15:00 p.m. and settle on the price of gold. This is generally recognized to be the benchmark for the day-to-day specific value of gold or gold-related products, so if you're interested in investing in gold, be sure to tune in twice a day to London Gold Fixing.

There are direct and indirect forms in which one could invest in gold. Certificates, accounts, derivatives, or shares are indirect forms of investment. The level of purity in bullion coins varies from issue to issue, but 99.9% purity is the most commonly found, a good enough reason for you to choose them when deciding to invest in gold.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/5598650 Gold Prices Rise

Online Gold Trading Vs Forex Trading

1. Simple analysis

One of the best advantages about trading gold over forex trading is that it does not require complex analysis. Beside, you don't need much knowledge about the market for you to be successful. Unlike trading currencies, online gold prices are not affected by many factors. This reduces the number of parameters needed to do the analysis.

2. Easy predictable patterns

The patterns of gold market are actually somewhat predictable unlike forex market. Due to the easy predictable patterns, the online gold trading is becoming more appealing to investors day by day. The gold traders don't need some genius mind to predict the patterns in the gold market. Again, few factors affect the gold patterns leading to easy predictability of its future prices. One of the major factor affecting online gold prices is the value of US dollars.

3. Little system supervision

Another important advantage of online gold trading over currency trading is the little supervision required. Gold prices do not change drastically as noticed when trading currencies. This means you don't need a lot of time to monitor the system. Actually you just need to dedicate a couple of minutes each day to check the system. For forex trading, you have to be updated every time as the prices changes drastically. Several people trading currencies monitor the system every minute. This is common with day trading activities.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6477157

3 Components Affecting The Gold Rate In India

Gold Rate 

1) History of Gold

Gold is just not thought of as simply a yellow metal or investment which comes in and out of season. It truly is viewed moreso as part of the culture, a bedrock in the society if you will. Indians view gold as the foundation by which planet earth was made. Gold can be regarded as the greatest object of their total affection. It is often handed down from one generation to another and is the last asset sold at any time at all. In such a way, Indians view gold the same way Americans view cash, as being the ultimate safety vehicle. However, over the years, gold has assisted in maintaining purchasing power for it's owners, while cash hasn't.

2) Gold Gifting for Weddings

Gold and jewellery expenses makeup approximately 30-50% of combined marriage expenses. Gold is given instead of cash because it is viewed as eternal and everlasting. With today's rising gold rate in India, there's no reason to expect this trend to slow any time soon. It should remain one of many important aspects for years to come.

3) Increased Jewelry Demand

he jewelry marketplace is currently valued at approximately $27.5 billion (INR 1.22 trillion) and it has been growing on a 15 % clip. Much of this is a result of increased income levels in India, rising purchasing power as well as a higher gold price. In India, gold jewelry is viewed as a safe and secure investment option that may retain it's investment value.

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6524355

Gold Predictions for 2012 - Would You Trust Someone Who Never Made a Mistake?

Gold Predictions from HSBC

HSBC actually lowered their initial forecasts for 2012 and 2013 from $2,025 and $1,850 an ounce to $1,850 and 1,800 an ounce. They also made a forecast of of $1,750 in 2014.In their long term prediction (2015-19) the gold price would steeply go less to $1,500 an ounce.

Gold Predictions from PNG

The Professional Numismatists Guild (PNG) a half century old, NGO(founded in 1955) which is composed of the nation's top rare bullion coin dealers conducted a poll among its 30 members and the following result came up.

Estimated Prices at the end of first quarter 2012:
Lowest estimated prediction: $1,475
Highest estimated prediction: $2,155
Mean average (30 respondents): $1,759.57
Estimated Gold Prices at the end of fourth quarter 2012:
Lowest estimated prediction: $1,450
Highest estimated prediction: $2,575
Mean average (28 respondents): $1,976.22

Gold Predictions From Wall Street Firms

Several Wall Street firms also published their gold forecast for 2012. The Goldman Sachs predicted that prices will peak at $1,900 per ounce and they estimate that the price of gold will peak at $1,810 per ounce in 2012.They had made this prediction based on factors like Buying of gold as a security by central banks and a strong physical demand from investors, the European sovereign debt and the negative real interest rate environment in the U.S

"We believe that prices will recover in 20Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/6813952

Why Gold Should Be Part Of Your Stockmarket Portfolio

gold price

Why the outlook for gold is so bullish

The starting point for the analysis of any commodity is supply and demand, and for gold the simple fact is that supply is declining and demand rising

The gold supply

World mine production began to level off in the 1990s as gold traded a wide range but remained significantly lower than previous peaks, and by 2004, production was falling at a rate of 5% p.a. according to the World Gold Council. This as yet has not changed significantly and is a long term factor because it can take almost a decade for a rise in gold prices to generate exploration and eventual exploitation of new mines.

In terms of the existing supply, much of this has come from ongoing central bank offloading of gold, and here many developed countries have now stopped both official and unofficial sales of gold. Previously, and as a result of the need to diversify, central banks carried out regular gold sales, but in some cases (see below) the reverse is happening as finance ministers see the need to protect against the inflationary consequence of fiat monetary policies that are rampant across major western economies.

Another aspect of supply that is changing is forward selling from gold producers, where output prices were traditionally locked in to protect against potential future falls in gold. This was a normal part of commodity hedging, and to some extent it might have helped keep the price down, but given the ongoing bull market, mining companies now run the risk of losing potential future profits if they hedge into rising prices. It is estimated that global gold producers have reduced forward sales by over 40%, which would result in a drop in supply of almost 1000 tonnes.gold price

Demand for gold

A big change in demand has come from central banks in China, Japan, India and Russia as a result of the need to diversify their vast US dollar reserves to some extent. The Russian central bank has hinted more than once that it plans to double its gold reserves, and the subject has regularly been mentioned by the Chinese central bank. All this is mainly as a result of the high proportion of trade-related US dollars flowing into their coffers, which has made them gold priceproportionately more reliant on the value of those dollars held.

Asset allocation and investment in gold

Back in the 1970s commodity investment was an essential part of asset allocation for diversified portfolios, but despite the long term bear market ending just after the turn of the millennium, many investors continue to shun gold stocks. The two biggest gold stocks in the world are Barrick Gold Corporation, now valued at $36bn, and Newmont Mining, worth £21bn, and the total value of the top ten gold stocks is less than $150bn. If you compare this with the current value of Exxon Mobil at $505bn and it can be seen how insignificant gold stock valuations remain given the continued potential of this sector.

M3, inflation and the gold pricegold price

With M3 money supply growing rapidly in most of the developed economies, the only outcome other than drastically higher interest rates, which looks unlikely, is a devaluation of currencies as has been the case throughout the last century. Should the dollar continue to move to lower ground as measured by the dollar index, which looks likely, further diversification into gold and other asset classes as a protection against the falling value of dollar reserves is likely to accelerate.Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/873719gold price

Predictions of Gold Price Trend

Predictions of Gold Price Trend

 The peak price of gold can reach $5000 per ounce as per the analysts as the current economic output is many times greater than 30 years ago. As today's market is based on trader's emotions and mass psychology many would not believe that the gold price may increase to $5000. Because of this normally the predictions made by different analysts will be different.A common question may be bubbling in many minds about who are buying gold and driving their prices up. The market traders today are showing a lot of interest in buying gold. But a lot of ordinary folks are also buying gold. This is because they can buy and sell gold as a contract in their trading platform. The government also reserves gold for dealing with other countries as a better form of payment. Many people invest in gold as they lose confidence in paper currency. There are many causes for this volatile nature of paper currency. They may be political unrest, economic depression and rising inflation. There are many other factors which affects gold rate. Due to the increasing political and economic problems all over the world, many would always prefer to have a form of currency that has high value. 

Article Source: http://EzineArticles.com/5515970 http://goldenprice.blogspot.tw/p/reasons-for-gold-price-to-increase.html